Everyone else is talking about the economy. How can you not? I don’t even pretend to know much about all of this.
We are all nervous. I don’t know about the rest of you, but we are definitely feeling the impact of this “economic crisis” **
** I find it very interesting that this wasn’t a “crisis” until a few days ago. Didn’t we all see this coming for about 18 months? Bush seemed surprised that he even had to get on TV and give us a pep talk last week. Funny, I thought we were all just ‘whiners’ a few short months ago.
You can’t avoid conversations anywhere. As much as I am unhappy with my job and my house, I am extremely thankful that I have a job and a home.
But I am also very weary of how quickly that can change.
This morning, I went to zill.ow.com and got my current estimated value for the condo we are trying to sell (that is currently off the market). The estimate is $29,000.00 less than what we paid for it. It’s about $7,000 more than our mortgage balance. If we did sell it for that, with realtor commission and conveyance taxes, we’d be in the hole for around $10,000. I know estimated value doesn’t always mean market value, but it doesn’t even matter at this point. We can’t sell.
Aside from the home values, the job security and income factor is scary. I always thought my job was secure. I’m salaried, so business shouldn’t impact me, right?
Wrong.
Two weeks ago, a large law firm in our state imploded. There one day, gone the next. It had been a year in the making, but not too many lawyers knew what was happening.
One third of those lawyers couldn’t get picked up by other firms. Why? They didn’t have a ‘book of business’ of clients to bring to a new firm.
This terrifies me because (a) this imploded firm was pretty much a mirror image of my firm. Same size, same type of practice, business, income, etc. and (b) because I am one of those lawyers who wouldn’t have a ‘book of business’ if I was suddenly without a job.
I don’t have a Plan B. I have zero savings and a mortgage that we couldn’t afford if I ended up unemployed tomorrow. We used to always have a nice cushion in savings ‘just in case’ of a crisis. But since we bought the condo, had to buy a new car, had Shmoo, money goes out faster than it comes in. We are definitely cutting costs like we never have before.
This whole economic downturn is scary, but now a “CRISIS”?!!?
I do know that when I did work in Wall Street, we always referred to Bear.Stearns, Morgan.Stanley, Lehman.Bros, etc. as the “big guns” – who would have thought that a few short years later they would be GONE!
It sounds like this bailout MUST happen because allowing the market to ‘correct itself’ would be catastrophic. But what do I know, I’m just a laywoman.
I remember coming home and telling Lo about 4 years ago that we were going to have a huge foreclosure boom right about now. (I definitely didn’t predict this) But I would plead with borrowers to understand what they were getting into. I had negative am loans that I was supposed to be representing the bank, but I’d try to talk a home buyer out of it. People were getting mortgages out for $500,000 homes but didn’t have the $5,000 (1% deposit) to put down on it. It was a crazy time and banks are to blame, borrowers are to blame and the government is to blame. Frankly, we can pass blame around to pretty much everyone. And those lawyers who let these people close on homes they couldn’t afford, they are to blame too (I’ll take blame).
It sounds like this bailout MUST happen because allowing the market to ‘correct itself’ would be catastrophic. But what do I know, I’m just a laywoman.
I don’t know what’s going to happen. Friday night, I’ll be drinking beers with my college roomie who works in the credit market. I’m sure she won’t want to talk about it, but it will be interesting to get some perspective from a fiscally conservative Republican who works in the heart of the industry.
As for now, I hope all of my friends are doing okay. I have to believe we will all get through this.
BTW – I totally HEART Barney.Frank. Love that man.























